On April 27, 2012, Dr. Antonio Maria Costa, former head of the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), gave an interview to EIR’s Andrew Spannaus. Dr. Costa had warned shortly after the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy in September 2008 that, when interbank lending and credit markets froze during that panic, it was only the flow of drug money that kept the international banking system from a complete meltdown. Dr. Costa repeated that assessment in his more recent EIR interview.

Your thoughts and comments are welcome.

Download the interview in PDF format from this link.

(Spanish)

En una amplia entrevista que se publica en la edición del 27 de abril de EIR Online (inglés), el doctor Antonio María Costa, ex director general de la Oficina de Naciones Unidas contra la Droga y el Delito (de 2002 a 2010) proporciona una visión desde adentro de la forma en que el dinero de las drogas ha contaminado al sistema bancario mundial. Durante su larga carrera, el doctor Costa ha tenido la oportunidad de diseñar normas para tratar de impedir ese delito, pero ha visto como ha estallado el lavado de dinero de las drogas en la medida en que la banca globalizada ha hecho añicos el sistema regulatorio de los gobiernos.

El doctor Costa se hizo famoso a nivel mundial en enero de 2009 —solo unos meses después del derrumbe del sistema bancario trasatlántico—- cuando declaró en una entrevista con el semanario austriaco Profil, que una flujo masivo de efectivo del comercio global de narcótico se llevaron hacia el sistema bancario para rescatar a los bancos después de que cerró el mercado de dinero interbancario.

En su entrevista con EIR, el doctor Costa respondió preguntas acerca del lavado de dinero de las drogas y sobre como contenerlo. Pone de relieve la importancia del Estado nacional en ese esfuerzo y critico duramente el movimiento a favor de la legalización de las drogas. Comparó el actual impulso por la legalización de las drogas con una nueva Guerra del Opio y respaldó el retornó de la ley Glass Steagall para la regulación bancaria, la cual consideró importante, aunque no suficiente para lidiar con el problema.

El discernimiento del doctor Costa se refleja mejor quizás en su respuesta a la pregunta de EIR sobre si la crisis financiera ofrece “una oportunidad para las asociaciones delictivas para traer su dinero hacia dentro del sistema bancario, o es la crisis financiera una oportunidad para los bancos para traer mas dinero dentro de ese sistema?. ¿De cual de los dos lados proviene?”

El respondió: “La penetración del sector financiero por el dinero del delito ha proliferado tanto que quizá sería más correcto decir que no es la mafia la que trata de penetrar al sistema bancario, sino que es el sector bancario que busca activamente capital –-incluyendo dinero del crimen— no solo como depósitos, sino también como participación con acciones y en algunos casos con presencia en la junta directiva”.

LA ENTREVISTA COMPLETA QUE VIENE A CONTINUACIÓN SE HA PUBLICADO ÚNICAMENTE EN INGLÉS. PUEDEN UTLIZAR EL TRADUCTOR DE GOOGLE, HACIENDO CLIC EN LA BANDERITA ESPAÑOLA EN LA PARTE SUPERIOR DERECHA DE LA PÁGINA.

Former UNODC Head Talks about Drugs in the World Banking System

by Andrew Spannaus        [PDF version of this interview]

From 2002 to 2010, Antonio Maria Costa was the Executive Director of the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), headquartered in Vienna, Austria. He became world-famous in January 2009—only months after the meltdown of the trans-Atlantic banking system—when he stated, in an interview with the Austrian weekly Profil, that massive cash flows from the global narcotics trade were brought into the banking system to rescue banks after the interbank money markets shut down.

As Dr. Costa makes clear in the interview below, he has been at the center of efforts for almost 30 years that have investigated the interface between organized crime and banking, particularly efforts on money laundering. His work at UNODC put him at the center of international efforts to coordinate anti-narcotics and -crime activities around the world.

On March 13, Costa teamed up for a live Internet debate from London, titled, “It’s Time To End the War on Drugs,” with former New York State Attorney General, and then Gov. Eliot Spitzer, and former U.S. anti-drug czar Gen. Barry McCaffrey (ret.). Costa makes clear in the interview what financial interests are behind the campaign for drug legalization, and presents what amounts to a wake-up call for Glass-Steagall, and measures to end the interface of crime and banks.

Dr. Costa was interviewed by Andrew Spannaus in Italy on April 12, 2012.

EIR: Dr. Costa, in 2007 and 2008, the trans-Atlantic banking system essentially froze up as the interbank markets stopped functioning during the financial crisis. You have stated in the past that at that time, cash from the narcotics trade moved in to fill the gap in the financial system. Could you elaborate on that and tell us about the link between banks and narco-money in the system?

In the Beginning: The Mafia

Costa: I have to go back to the origin of the whole thing, and of the process of trying to clean the banking system from mafia infiltration. So we go back to the previous century. The relationship between the banking system and the mafia started in the 1960s and ’70s. In the ’60s and ’70s, the mafia basically handled cash in large amounts, although not as large as today because international crime was much smaller. It was mostly Italian, North American, and with some other affiliations, but it was limited in size.

Then, with the progressive opening of borders, communication, and business, in the late ’70s and beginning of the ’80s, organized crime, which also had established roots outside of Italy, started to use the banking system to transfer assets, to move their money around the world.

It is at that time—in the early ’80s—that I was at the OECD in Paris, where we started noticing a significant amount of recycling of mafia assets through the banking system. So we launched the first exercise. It started in 1984, resulting in a key paper which I personally submitted to the G7 summit—at that time it was the G7—meeting in Paris, on the 14th of July, I recall. The G7 summiteers approved the establishment of the first and foremost anti-money-laundering institution, the Financial Action Task Force.

FATF, of which I am one of the founders, started to be very active with specialized recommendations. Your readers may be familiar with this. And these recommendations started biting, slowly and progressively, at least in the major financial institutions, on both sides of the Atlantic, but not only. Because of this, the recycling of criminal money through the banking system was reduced very significantly.

A few years later—let’s say in 2002 and 2003—the first crisis hit, the IT bubble burst—and the banking system, which had spread enormously because of globalization, started to be infiltrated again by criminal assets. Namely, the anti-money-laundering controls which worked very effectively in Europe and North America in the 1990s, were weakened significantly in a number of off-shore jurisdictions which were much weaker. This started a new cycle of penetration of crime money.

The 2008 financial crisis, still unfolding, hit the entire trans-Atlantic banking sector. The illiquidity associated with the banking crisis, the reluctance of banks to lend money to one another, and so on and so forth, offered a golden opportunity to criminal institutions—which had developed huge financial power, money which was liquid because it could not be recycled through the banking system in earlier years. At this point in time, we’re talking about the 2008-11 period, the need for cash by the banking sector and the liquidity of organized crime created an extraordinary opportunity for a marriage of convenience, namely, for organized crime to penetrate the banking sector.

We’ve had a number of historic episodes. The Wachovia Bank[1] in New York is the most important one. According to the U.S. Justice Department, Wachovia recycled $480 million over a period of three years. That was the most dramatic case, although there are similar cases, perhaps not in terms of size, but there are other well-known institutions both in Europe and North America.

The tragedy of the Wachovia case is that those who were responsible for the recycling of Mexican drug money were let go without any retribution. If not opening the gates to more of such criminal behavior, that fact certainly gave evidence that—and here I’m branching into something else, into drug control—the major instrument to fight drug trafficking, namely following the drug money and seizing it, well, that instrument is now lost.

The Banks Were Looking for Cash

EIR: Just to follow up on this point: Did the financial crisis offer an opportunity for the criminal associations to get their money in, or was the financial crisis an opportunity for the banks to bring more money in? Which side does it come from?

Costa: The penetration of the financial sector by criminal money has been so widespread that it would probably be more correct to say that it was not the mafia trying to penetrate the banking system, but it was the banking sector which was actively looking for capital—including criminal money—not only as deposits, but also as share acquisitions and in some cases, as a presence on Boards of Directors.

EIR: You spoke of Wachovia Bank in New York. What are the major venues where this takes place internationally? Are there specific venues, specific institutions, specific types of institutions?

Costa: At the UN Office on Drugs and Crime—my former job—our responsibility, and my own role, has never been one of indicting people, or even pointing fingers at individual institutions or financial entities. Our role has always been one of making public opinion and governments in particular aware of the problem, and therefore assisting them to remedy whatever the problem is. So I will not, and I have not in the past—leaving aside the more evident case of Wachovia—I don’t want to point at individual institutions.

For sure the FATF recommendations, as tight as they are, offer a certain amount of protection. But these recommendations work where they are taken seriously and are implemented. There are rogue jurisdictions, there are off-shore centers—typically people say in the Pacific, but it’s also in Africa, it’s also in Latin America, and so forth—where the very key principle behind the FATF recommendations, the so-called principle of “Know your customer,” and therefore not accepting money if it is made available by people you do not know—that principle is not followed.

And if that principle is not followed, once money enters a financial institution in a rogue jurisdiction—at times in very large amounts—it can be transferred very rapidly, with practically zero controls, anywhere else in the world. So the Wachovia case proved very clearly that people were not necessarily walking into a branch of the bank somewhere in New York City with a suitcase full of cash. No, the deposit would be made in Mexico, or in some of the Central American countries, and then it would find its way to the Wachovia Bank in the U.S.

EIR: Have the new rules and agreements on black-list countries reached since the financial crisis made a difference? There has been a stated intention to stop this, but has it actually changed anything?

Costa: Not really. Countries very aggressively fight any attempt to be downgraded. A FATF downgrading is almost the moral equivalent of a credit agency downgrading. Unfortunately, I dealt with a very large number of Western African countries through which we—when I was the head of UNODC—spotted a lot of narcotics coming from Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil, on its way to Europe. What we have also seen, and this is not surprising, in many of these Western African countries, is the rapid growth of a banking sector which is not justified by the size of these economies, by the complexity of the real economy there.

EIR: To come back to the United States and European side of the question, you wrote a paper on your website entitled “The Economics of Crime,” and there you spoke of “an army of white-collar criminals—lawyers, accountants, realtors, and bankers—who cover up for the [drug traffickers] and launder their proceeds.” So you’re saying that the structure is also in the banks and the organizations in the Western countries. Are governments and government agencies prepared to deal with this? What do they need to be effective? Is it a question of intention, or is it a question of not having the proper instruments?

Costa: I would say probably both. Between the proper, well-organized banking system on the one hand, and the mafia and criminal organizations on the other hand, between these two entities there is an army of bankers, financial advisors, realtors, notaries, lawyers, and so forth, that are very much part of the problem.

I have seen very little effort to hit them. Our countries, our societies, our governments, must be able to break that link between the real criminals, the ones who go around with guns in their belts, and the bankers. In the financial institutions there are people who are involved in laundering not necessarily the money, but the paperwork which is necessary for making blood money licit.

A Role for Glass-Steagall

EIR: EIR is well-known for proposing the reorganization of the financial system based on the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933; that is, the separation between commercial banks, ordinary banking functions, and investment banks, which have all of the operations that have to do with the financial markets and speculative functions.

Would you support a Glass-Steagall approach, and if you would, do you think this could have a role as regards transnational crime and the financial proceeds from that?

Costa: I’m not sure this would have a role in terms of fighting the penetration of criminal money in the banking system, although I’m in favor of it, for other reasons which are more related to trying to avoid the sort of crisis we just experienced. I’m definitely in favor of a Glass-Steagall type of legislation, not only for America, but everywhere in the world. Actually, I would even go beyond that. I am very much in favor of some of the European formulations—I guess the French have been particularly active on that, and the Germans as well—regarding putting some brakes on financial transactions, through taxation or other mechanisms; the so-called “sand in the wheels,” an expression used when I went to school, to [the University of California at] Berkeley.

The banking system has a fundamental role in supporting the real economy, but when it becomes an end in itself, I start having some reservations. There is no problem making money through purely financial activities, but if they become destabilizing to the system at large, then I believe that this is a perverse type of development. As a consequence, and to conclude on this, not only a Glass-Steagall sort of separation between commercial and financial activities, but I strongly support also cooling the financial transactions in order to render them part of the stability of the system and not a destabilizing force.

EIR: An opposite approach to the question of illicit money in the financial system from the drug trade is that of legalization. You recently participated in a highly publicized discussion on this question with other individuals, notably former New York Gov. Eliot Spitzer; Gen. Barry McCaffrey (ret.) who was the drug czar in the United States; and, on the other side, Virgin [Atlantic Airways] founder Richard Branson, who recently has helped step up the campaign for legalization publicly quite a bit. What is your opinion of this campaign, in particular in terms of its ramifications for the financial system?

Costa: It is most unfortunate that the question of drug abuse gets caught up into the debate about the reform of the financial sector. Drug abuse is a dramatic problem worldwide: It kills half a million people a year. Drug addiction is a health condition. And therefore, anything which can be done to reduce the health problems caused by addiction—well, this should be done on the basis of the health dimension of drugs.

Look at the North American border between Mexico and the United States: A real war of sorts broke out there, that has caused 50,000 casualties so far. This is a perverse example of how lack of drug control has created a situation that people claim can only be redressed by legalizing drugs.

Now, please ask yourself: Why is the Mexican-U.S. border so dramatically affected by the war caused by drugs? Because of several conditions: money laundering in the United States which facilitates the recycling of Mexican drug money; free trade in military-grade weapons in the U.S., which are smuggled into Mexico for organized crime; then you have a flourishing cocaine market in the U.S.; then add to this corruption in Mexico. All of that causes the grave circumstances of today, which are erroneously approached via proposing the legalization of drugs. I’m afraid these two countries will have to attack their internal problems, and not by imposing on other countries, especially Africa or Asia, legalization of drugs. It is a problem of their own.

Lessons of the Opium Wars

EIR: You have mentioned in this context the British Opium Wars, in speaking about the question of legalization, the effects it has on the population, and in whose interest it is. Because obviously, some people, when they speak of legalization, say it’s in the interest of the population: People can do whatever they want, and also then, we would take away the criminal aspect. But it seems that the historical parallel has shown something very different.

Costa: Yes, it did. While we have global examples of drug control, and the results it produces, we also have one very tragic example of drug legalization. I am referring to the two Opium Wars when Great Britain imposed opium legalization on China. Now that was done for commercial reasons, and not for colonial reasons, under the pressure of the East India Company, which itself made a huge amount of money by poisoning the Chinese.

This is an interesting example, because while we hear of legalizing drugs in order to weaken organized crime, and we hear proposals to legalize drugs because human beings are supposed to be free in what they decide, what we are seeing is something else: We are seeing big commercial interests lining up to develop drug brands, brands of drugs which today are prohibited, like cocaine, like marijuana, like opium and heroin and whatever else.

There are big commercial interests over there, almost—and this is mostly in Europe and North America—as if people were saying: Well, we lost all manufacturing to the Orient. What are we left with? We are left with the service industry. What can we do? Well, we can develop drug brands—another way of supporting Western banking and commercial interests. I am afraid it would be an historic error whose dimensions only future generations would recognize.

EIR: Let’s take a step backwards to the question of production and trade. Victor Ivanov, the director of Russia’s Federal Drug Control Service, has been very active recently regarding the drug trade and how to stop it. He has cited your work as well. In particular, as regards Afghanistan, Ivanov has said that the drug trade could be stopped in Afghanistan. He thinks that if the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and NATO were to work together, the SCO could stop the trade essentially coming out of Afghanistan, if NATO would work to block the channels inside.

So how important is this type of cooperation internationally to stop both the drug trade and the laundering then of the proceeds into the Western economies?

Costa: The Shanghai Cooperation Organization and NATO working together would certainly help. We see in Afghanistan, the mirror image of what we have seen in the past in Colombia and earlier in Peru: the symbiosis between illicit activity related to drugs, and insurgency. In these three countries—as was also the case in the eastern part of Myanmar, and to a large extent, also Laos and Cambodia, and in the Bekaa Valley [Lebanon]—we see that insurgents, in one way or another, either protect the farmers, such as in Colombia with the FARC and ELN, Peru with the Shining Path, the Taliban in Afghanistan; or they protect the trade, for example, the al-Qaeda of the Maghreb, protecting the trade of cocaine across the Atlantic coming from Colombia and Brazil, going through West Africa, and then the Sahara, and then to Europe.

So we see in all of these cases, insurgency protecting the drug trade, to gain the resources which are needed for their insurgent purposes.

In the case of Afghanistan, we have seen that NATO had never been involved, not to any significant extent, in counter-narcotics operations. It was only—and here I must say that my office played a key role in convincing NATO to recognize that the opium economy was generating a large amount of money for the Taliban—NATO became involved in attacking high-value targets, whether they were individuals or networks or deposits. And I insisted: Do not touch the farmers. The farmers’ attitude is a political question, a social issue. But the traffickers and the traders are a criminal activity, and since crime has been funding insurgency, they should become a legitimate military target.

It worked. After a while NATO had some afterthoughts, and that is probably the reason why at the moment we still see Afghanistan caught in this double war of narcotics being produced and exported on the one hand, and of course, insurgency.

International Cooperation Is Essential

EIR: What is the role of the European Union in this situation? That is, in terms of supranational organizations, as opposed to nations. Regarding the drug trafficking and money laundering in general, do you think these issues can be addressed effectively by supranational organizations, or does it really depend on the specific drive and intention of nations that then may cooperate?

Costa: The role of nations is crucial, and will remain crucial, also because law enforcement is fundamentally a national responsibility. Supranational institutions, such as the European Union or international organizations like the United Nations, or Interpol for that matter, have a key role in integrating the law enforcement activities that are carried out at the national level. They cannot be replaced.

For example, in France, only the French police can arrest people. But the French police may be alerted through Interpol, or by other law enforcement officials of other countries, about certain illegal activity going on, money laundering, and so on and so forth. In other words, nothing can replace international cooperation in fighting crime.

EIR: A final question. To come back to the financial system: In the speech I mentioned by Ivanov at the CSIS [Center for Strategic and International Studies] in Washington, he said that he would support a total reorganization of the global financial system as a way to get the drug money out. I would ask for your view of what needs to be done in general terms to get the drug money out of the financial system, out of our economy.

Costa: I can repeat what I said earlier. Current efforts to fight money laundering have been successful, if we only refer to the formal banking sector. When we go to other forms of money transmitted across borders, for example, the Hawala system [an informal system of money-brokers, located in the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia—ed.], we see limited ability to comply, or perhaps even limited willingness to comply. And therefore, all these sorts of mechanisms have to be monitored, and the same recommendations have to be enforced. And there are other activities as well: The travel industry, the casino industry and so forth, are only indirectly considered by the anti-money-laundering recommendations. Unless we hit them very hard, there are going to be other forms of channeling resources.

The inability or unwillingness of our financial regulators and our law enforcement to punish those who have been involved in money laundering is another incentive; this must come to an end. I don’t think we need new organizations. We just need to make sure that what is decided at the international level is complied with. At the moment, I see limited willingness to comply, especially at a time of financial crisis.

The other element is corruption. We see organized crime as one problem, drug trafficking and drug addiction as other problems, money laundering as another problem, the role of white-collar people as another issue, and corruption as another issue. In a sense, all these issues are interconnected. So the fact that international agreements are compartmentalized, to fight corruption, or organized crime, or drug trafficking—in a sense, it’s the whole culture of society which has to be looked at, because all of these are different manifestations of the same problem.

[1] In March, 2010, the Obama Administration Department of Justice concluded a non-criminal settlement with Wachovia Bank regarding the bank’s laundering over several years of $378 billion for Mexican money-exchange houses, many linked to cocaine cartels. Although the DOJ in only one case established that $110 million in narcotics-related transfers were conducted, with Wachovia not fulfilling its anti-money-laundering reporting responsibilites, sources have stated that billions of dollars of narcotics money was actually involved. The London Guardian reported on April 3, 2011, “A FinCEN source says that $20 billion already examined appears to have ‘suspicious origins.’ But this is just the beginning.” FinCEN is the U.S. Treasury Department’s anti-money-laundering investigations unit which continues to investigate the Wachovia case. Emails from the private security company STRATFOR, revealed by Wikileaks, discuss a team of former CIA investigators, employed by the Mexican government, estimating $70 billion in narcotics money run through the Wachovia channel—ed.

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Helga Zepp-LaRouche propone un programa de reconstrucción para la región mediterránea

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HELGA ZEPP-LAROUCHE EN DIÁLOGO CON ESPAÑA Y PORTUGAL

Sobre la crisis global y el futuro de Europa
viernes 27 de abril de 2012, 8 pm hora de Madrid, 2 pm hora de Washington,
con traducción simultánea al español por el portal
www.larouchepub.com/spanish

¿Tienen que seguir España y Portugal a Grecia hacia la autodestrucción? ¿Está Europa condenada a muerte bajo las medidas económicas fracasadas? ¿Las naciones tienen que seguir siendo indefensas, o peor, mientras que la quiebra de la City de Londres y Wall Street conduce al mundo hacia la guerra nuclear global? ¿No podemos cambiar el curso de la historia para sacar al mundo del umbral de la catástrofe antes de que sea demasiado tarde? ¿No somos acaso humanos?

La política hiperinflacionaria de rescates financieros ha fracasado; las medidas brutales de austeridad que se han impuesto solo aceleran la desintegración financiera, a costa de la vida de la gente, de las economías y de las naciones. No solo son las horas del euro las que están contadas. La civilización misma se halla en peligro de muerte. Debe ser obvio para cualquier ser humano pensante en este planeta que la continuación de las políticas actuales conduce posiblemente a la extinción de la especie humana. Y la chispa que puede encender la bomba financiera de toda Europa es hoy España.

El viernes 27 de abril, Helga Zepp-LaRouche, presidenta del partido alemán Bueso (Movimiento Solidaridad de los Derechos Civiles) y fundadora del Instituto Schiller internacional, esposa del estadista y economista estadounidense Lyndon LaRouche, y aliada y colaboradora del candidato presidencial francés Jacques Cheminade, sostendrá un diálogo con España y Portugal sobre la crisis y las soluciones necesarias. Tenemos que asegurar un cambio muy drástico y dramático del sistema, del orden financiero global, y un cambio igualmente dramático en el pensamiento de la mayoría de la gente. Ese refrán popular —”De todas maneras no se puede hacer nada”— es tan responsable de esta crisis existencial como los líderes, incompetentes o peor, de los gobiernos del mundo.

El nombre del juego es imperio, o más precisamente, el imperio británico y el principio oligárquico que ha dominado la situación europea y global por casi 4,000 años, en ropajes distintos. Hoy se le llama “globalización” y “libre comercio”. El “imperio británico” de hoy es el sistema complejo de bancos centrales, fondos especulativos de todo tipo, compañías de seguros, bancos fantasmas, etc. Es ese sistema financiero responsable del cambio de paradigma de los últimos 40 o 45 años, que se ha apartado de la producción de bienes físicos, la economía real, y que cada vez está más dominado por la especulación y la filosofía del hedonismo que nos está destruyendo desde adentro.

La solución está en:

1) Detener el plan del imperio británico para imponer el Mecanismo de Estabilización Europeo (MEE), que será la plataforma para poner en marcha el rescate hiperinflacionario fascista de los bancos.

2) Intervenir el sistema financiero mundial actual y someterlo a una reorganización por bancarrota, separando de modo absoluto la banca comercial de la banca especulativa, de acuerdo a los lineamientos de la ley Glass-Steagall de 1933 de Franklin Roosevelt.

3) Establecer un nuevo orden financiero internacional basado en sistemas de crédito para el desarrollo real, no en sistemas monetarios centrados en la especulación.

4) Utilizar este nuevo flujo de crédito productivo para emprender grandes proyectos de desarrollo como el Puente Terrestre Mundial, mediante una red ferroviaria global de alta velocidad y corredores industriales, para llevar el desarrollo de tecnología avanzada –incluyendo la energía nuclear en particular—a cada esquina y a todas las poblaciones del planeta.

Únete al diálogo con Helga-Zepp LaRouche para discutir las soluciones a la crisis este viernes 27 de abril a las 8 p.m. hora de Madrid (2 p.m. hora del Este de Estados Unidos).

Envía tus preguntas por e-mail, antes o durante la conferencia, a: preguntas@larouchepub.com.

ACCESO DIRECTO EN http://www.larouchepub.com/spanish/audio/2012/0427_helga.php

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Nos siguen diciendo que España está haciendo una labor envidiable en cuanto a solventar sus problemas económicos y que dentro de poco, saldremos de la crisis.

La crisis, es otra cosa, eso sucede en aquellos otros países donde la gente inculta, otra gente, no nosotros, están haciéndolo mal o muy mal. En estos otros países, los Reyes y monarcas les toman el pelo a diario, no como aquí, donde nuestro Rey se acuesta todas las noches preocupadísimo por los españoles. En otros países, hay líderes corruptos sin escrúpulos y sin sentido de la justicia. Aquí no. Aquí tenemos líderes mejor preparados y más informados para liderar a nuestro país en tiempos de crisis.

¡Viva España, viva Rajoy, viva Rubalcaba, y por supuesto, larga vida al Rey!

El Banco Santander acaba de dar órdenes de vender todas sus propiedades en México y Florida. Todo FOR SALE. Cuando hace un año y medio decía que Santander estaba en bancarrota, la gente se descojonaba de la risa.

Ahora, la realidad… la que no nos cuentan en los medios de masa.

Daniel Estulin

Spain is Greece… Only Bigger and Worse

Published on Gains, Pains & Capital

On the Surface, Spain’s debt woes have many things in common with those of Greece:

1) Bad age demographics

2) A toxic bank system

However, you’ll note that as we tackle each of these, Spain is in fact in far worse fiscal shape than Greece.

Currently there is one person of non-working age (65 or older) for every four people of working age (15-64) in Spain. This is expected to worsen to one person of non-working age for every three people of working age by 2025 and an astounding more than one person of non-working age for every two people of working age by 2040.

These demographics alone set Spain up for a sovereign debt Crisis. According to

Jagadeesh Gohkale of the Cato Institute Spain would need to have 250% of its GDP sitting in a bank account collecting interest forever in order to meet its unfunded liabilities without raising taxes or cutting government outlays.

That, in of itself, is bad news for Spain. But Spain’s banking system are what really set it apart. Let’s consider the following facts about Spain’s banking system:

• Total Spanish banking loans are equal to 170% of Spanish GDP.

• Troubled loans at Spanish Banks just hit an 18-year high of over 8%.

• Spanish Banks are drawing a record €316.3 billion from the ECB (up from €169.2 billion in February).

However, even these don’t paint the real picture. Thanks to a property bubble that dwarfed the US in relative terms, Spain’s economy and corporate arena are now literally saturated with debt.

Consider the following:

• Spanish non-financial corporations’ gross debts outstanding are equal to 196% of Spain’s GDP (this is worse than that of Greece, Portugal, even Japan)

• Spanish non-financial corporations sport debt to equity ratios of 152% (only Greece and Japan are worse here)

• Spanish household debt is equal to 90% of the country’s GDP: much higher than the EU average of 70% and roughly inline with that of the US which has been running a credit bubble for 30+ years.

In simple terms, Spain is like Greece, only bigger and worse. According to the Bank of International Settlementsworldwide exposure to Spain is north of $1 TRILLION with Great Britain on the hook for $51 billion, the US on the hook for $187 billion, France on the hook for $224 billion and Germany on the hook for a whopping $244 billion.

However, as I have proven in previous issues, the Bank of International Settlements’ estimates actuallyunderestimate the true exposure EU nations pose to the financial system (for instance, the Bank of International Settlements claims German exposure to Greece is only $3.9 billion… when Germany’s Deutsche Bank alone has over 2.8 BILLION Euros’ worth of exposure to Greek debt and businesses). And Germany has TENS of other banks with exposure to Greece besides Deutsche Bank.

So it is safe to assume that global exposure to Spain is well north of $1 trillion. So if Spain chooses in any way to stage a default/ messy debt restructuring, we’re going to see:

1) A systemic crisis that would make Lehman look like a joke

2) The breaking up of the EU

3) A bear market in bonds (which we have not seen in roughly 30 years)

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Enlace a Página oficial London Book Fair

El lunes me fui a la Feria del libro de Londres para negociar un acuerdo de mis libros en el extranjero. Bilderberg está publicado en 82 países y traducido a 51 idiomas en 5 continentes. Hemos llegado a acuerdos para publicar Instituto Tavistock en Rusia, Polonia, Bulgaria, Italia, EE.UU , Canadá, entre otros. Ya suman 24 países los que han comprado derechos de Tavistock. También hemos vendido Desmontando Wikileaks, Imperio Invisible y Conspiración Octopus a más de 20 países.

Os dejo algunas fotos de la feria londinense.

Daniel Estulin

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